2021 Rumor Check: What’s Right, What’s Wrong and What’s Still to Come in 2022 (with Reliability Ranking)

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In 2022 we will have for sure a very wild ride here on FujiRumors.

But before we jump on the 2022 rumor-rollercoaster, let’s look back at how things went in 2021.

And I tell you this: I will be BRUTAL to myself, because out of the 5 wrong rumors, I personally consider only 1 really wrong. Why? Well, read my notes at the bottom of the article and I think you’ll agree with me.

Note: if you wonder where the “Sigma X mount lenses coming in 2021” rumor is, well, that was a rumor we shared back in 2020, hence it is not in this list. The rumor however has been sort of confirmed a few months later by Sigma itself, who literally wrote on their social media “we may see some X mount Sigma lenses in 2021“. And after tons of teasers, even the Sigma CEO himself confirmed X mount glass is coming. Sure, I consider this a wrong rumor shared in 2020, but it is clear to me that once again it’s the parts shortage that forced Sigma to adjust their schedule.

With that out of the way, here is the 2021 rumor check:

  • 83 rumors shared in 2021
  • 13 rumors still to be verified (all rumors with high reliability)
  • 65 correct rumors out of 70 verifiable rumors
  • 5 wrong rumors out of 70 verifiable rumors
  • 92,8% correct rumors

Rumor Overview with Rating (about Gear coming in 2022)

HIGH RATING*
* 75% to 99% correct

  1. Fujifilm X-H2 coming 2022 (shared March 8)
  2. Fujifilm Working on Fujinon XF56mm f/1.2 MKII (shared April 19)
  3. Fujifilm X-H2 in 2022 Will Be FIRST X Series Camera with New Sensor and Processor (shared May 13)
  4. Fujifilm X-H2 with 8K to Cost Less than Panasonic GH6 with 6K, hence less than $2,500 (shared June 18)
  5. Debunking fake rumors: no GF56mmF5.6 coming (shared July 1)
  6. Fujifilm X-H2 will feature a new X-Trans sensor (shared August 26)
  7. There Will be Two Fujifilm X-H2 Cameras Coming 2022 (shared August 31)
  8. Fujifilm X-H2 Coming 2022 with 40 (not 43) Megapixel Sensor (shared September 8)
  9. Fujifilm X-H2 Coming with Two Different Sensors (shared November 8)
  10. Two Fujifilm X-H2 Cameras Coming Different Megapixel Number (shared November 23)
  11. Fujifilm X-H2 with 26 Megapixel coming 2022 (shared December 8)

MEDIUM HIGH RATING*
*50% to 74% correct

  1. Fujinon XF56mm f/1.2 MKII and XF23mm f/1.4 MKII coming 2022 (shared April 20 – not that while announced, the XF23mmF1.4II will be released in 2022 just as we predicted)
  2. Fujifilm X-H2 with 8K DCI/UHD Video Coming 2022 (shared April 12)

MEDIUM LOW RATING*
*25% to 49% correct

  1. nothing

LOW RATING*
*1% to 24% correct

  1. nothing

_ _ _

THE 2021 CHECK

CORRECT RUMORS IN 2021

  1. First Image of NiSi Wide Angle lens for Fujifilm X (shared January 3)
  2. Fujifilm GFX100S to cost $5,999 (shared January 4)
  3. Fujifilm X-E4 with Tilt Up Screen Similar to X70 and Flush to the Camera Body like X100V screen (shared January 5)
  4. Fujifilm GFX100S will be a Bit Smaller than Fujifilm GFX50S (shared Janaury 6)
  5. Fujifilm GFX100S, GF80mmF1.7, X-E4, XF27mmF2.8II, XF70-300mmF4-5.6, New Film Simulation Coming January 27 (shared January 7)
  6. Fujifilm GFX100S with 3-Way Tilt Screen (shared January 8)
  7. Fujinon XF27mm f/2.8 MKII will be Weather Sealed and Have Aperture Ring (shared January 8)
  8. First Image of LAOWA 33mm f/0.95 for Fujifilm X and Laowa Lens Roadmap (shared January 9)
  9. Irix f/1.4 lens for Fujifilm GFX Additional Specs, Product Images and Sample Images (shared January 12)
  10. Fujifilm X-E4 Will Not Have IBIS (shared January 13)
  11. Fujifilm GFX100S Explained: Fixed EVF, Only One Top Dial (PSAM), No D-Pad, Top LCD, No Humpback and More (shared January 14)
  12. Next Fujifilm Film Simulation to be Called NOSTALGIC NEGATIVE (shared January 15)
  13. Fujifilm GFX100S No Vertical Battery Grip Option (shared January 18)
  14. Fujinon XF27mmF2.8 R WR with Same Optics of Original XF27mmF2.8 (shared January 21)
  15. Fujinon GF80mm f/1.7 to cost $/€2,299 (shared January 21)
  16. Fujinon XF18mm f/1.4 with 62mm filter size (shared March 25)
  17. Fujinon XF18mm f/1.4 to be announced April 15 (shared April 8)
  18. Fujifilm X-T4 Firmware Update Imminent, But only a minor update (shared June 26)
  19. LAOWA 33mm f/0.95 to be Released Late April and New Image (shared March 23) – correct, it was released in China in late April, and released in USA in early May
  20. Insane Fujinon X Mount Lens Deals Coming Soon: Save €2,000 on XF200mmF2 and More Rebates in Europe (shared April 29)
  21. MEGA DEAL on Fujinon XF200mmF2 and More Coming also to USA (shared May 11)
  22. Nope, there is No Fujinon XF300mmF4 and XF500mmF5.6 Coming in 2021 (shared January 13)
  23. Fujifilm Working on Fujinon XF 150-600mm Lens (shared January 25)
  24. Fujinon XF 150-600mm Lens Coming 2022 (shared January 26)
  25. New Fujinon GF Zoom Lens Coming 2021 (Not Yet on Roadmap) (shared January 28)
  26. Fujifilm Currently NOT Working on Fujinon XF35mmF1.4 MK II (shared February 26) NOTE: This rumor was shared immediately after a patent of the XF35mmF1.4MKII was spotted and had to be shared to make sure Fujifilm X shooters are correctly informed
  27. Another Fujinon XF f/1.4 Prime Lens Coming 2021 in Addition to XF18mmF1.4 (Not XF35mmF1.4 R WR) (shared March 4)
  28. Upcoming Fujinon GF zoom Will be Fujifilm’s Most Affordable G Mount Lens To Date (shared March 9)
  29. Fujinon XF33mmF1.4 R WR Coming 2021 (shared March 12)
  30. One More Fujifilm GFX Camera Coming 2021, More Affordable than GFX100S (shared March 15)
  31. Fujifilm GFX50S MKII Coming 2021 with Same 50 Megapixel Sensor of GFX50S (shared March 16)
  32. Registered FF210001 Camera is the Fujifilm GFX50S MKII (shared March 17)
  33. Fujifilm Working on Fujinon XF23mm f/1.4 MKII (shared April 19)
  34. Fujifilm GFX50S MKII will NOT be Announced on August 27 (shared May 18 in answer to leaks of other sources)
  35. Upcoming Fujinon GF Zoom Kit Price Leaked (shared June 14)
  36. Fujifilm to Launch Fujinon GF35-70mm Lens for $500 (kit price) (shared June 17)
  37. Fujifilm GFX50SMKII Will Be Fuji’s Most Affordable GFX Camera, Hence Cost Less Than $4,500 (shared June 19)
  38. Fujifilm GFX50SMKII will Look Exactly Like the Fujifilm GFX100S (shared June 22)
  39. Fujifilm to Launch Fujinon GF35-70mmF4.5-5.6 for $500 kit price in 2021 (shared July 9)
  40. Fujifilm GFX50SMKII to Ship in September plus Rumored Specs/Price Recap (shared July 15)
  41. Fujinon GF35-70mm 4.5-5.6 will Not Have an Aperture Ring (shared July 20)
  42. Fujinon GF35-70mmF4.5-5.6 with Collapsible Lens Design (shared July 23)
  43. Fujinon GF35-70mmF4.5-5.6 vs Fujinon GF32-64mmF4 Size Comparison (shared July 30)
  44. Fujinon GF 35-70mmF4.5-5.6 Coming Without Optical Image Stabilization (OIS) (shared August 3)
  45. Fujifilm announcements on September 2 (shared August 11)
  46. One More and Never Rumored X Series Camera Coming 2021 (shared August 13)
  47. Fujifilm X Summit on September 2 with LIVE STREAM on FujiRumors (shared August 13)
  48. Fujifilm X-T30MKII coming 2021 (shared August 16) and announcement September 2 (shared August 16)
  49. Fujinon GF35-70mm F4.5-5.6 will Have a Metal Bayonet (shared August 17)
  50. Fujinon XF23mmF1.4 MKII with Weather Sealing to be Announced September 2 (shared August 17)
  51. Fujinon XF33mm f/1.4 to be Announced on September 2 (shared August 18)
  52. Fujinon XF33mmF1.4 and XF23mmF1.4 II Coming with Linear Autofocus Motor and Weather Sealing (shared August 18)
  53. Fujifilm GFX50SII has X Processor 4 for Faster Autofocus and Nostalgic Negative Film Simulation (shared August 18)
  54. Fujinon GF35-70mm f/4.5-5.6 is Weather Sealed (shared August 20)
  55. 7Artisans 25mm f/0.95 Coming Soon (shared August 21)
  56. Fujinon GF35-70mmF4.5-5.6 to Cost $999 (Lens Only) and $500 (Kit Price) (shared August 24)
  57. Fujinon XF 33mm f/1.4 Price $799, filter size 58, aperture lock button (shared August 25)
  58. Fujifilm X-T30II has No IBIS and is “More or Less an X-T30 on Firmware Steroids” (shared August 27)
  59. Fujinon XF33mm f/1.4 vs XF35mm f/1.4 Size Comparison (shared August 31 and correcting an article of August 30 where I made an error I explain here)
  60. Fujinon XF23mmF1.4 R LM WR to Cost $899 (shared September 1)
  61. X-T30II to cost $899 (shared September 1)
  62. First Fujifilm GFX50SII and GF35-70mmF4.5-5.6 Hands On Images and Pixel Shift for 205 Megapixel Images (shared September 1)
  63. 7Artisans to Launch Autofocus Lenses for Fujifilm X Mount (shared Spetember 14)
  64. Fujifilm GFX50S MKII Priced $3,999 (shared June 25)
  65. Fujinon GF35-70mmF4.5-5.6 will Weight “Less Than Half” than GF32-64mmF4 (shared August 30)

WRONG RUMORS IN 2019

  1. New Fujinon GF Zoom Coming First Half 2021 (shared February 1)
    ATTENTION: this rumor has been updated on May 19 here, saying that it will come second half 2021. Fujifilm moved back the announcement. More about it below.
  2. No More Fujifilm X Series Camera Coming in 2021 (shared May 12) – X-T30II
  3. Fujifilm X-E4 is Fuji’s Last X-Trans IV Camera (shared May 14) – oh, you X-T30II
  4. Samyang AF 12mm f/2.0 for Fujifilm X to Ship in January 2022 (in North America) (shared December 1 – passed to me by a FR-reader who got the January date from Samyang USA customer service. So it is actually Samyang USA that is wrong as I just reported about it, and yet I must know better then Samyang itself, so I move it in the wrong rumor list)
  5. Viltrox 13mm f/1.4 AF Fujifilm X Mount Lens to Be Released in November (shared September 27) – officially announced in China in December. Almost correct ;).

Notes:

  • 2 wrong rumors are about items that I told you would ship a bit earlier than they really shipped. The delay is due to the parts shortage, and Viltrox sort of even confirmed that. Same goes for the GF35-70mm, although in this case it is not the parts shortage that caused the delay (but I can’t tell you more, sorry)
  • 2 are related to the X-T30II, a forced last second project by Fujifilm dictated by the parts shortage. It is an X-T30 on firmware steroids and better LCD screen. Personally I consider the two rumors I’ve shared correct, because I do not consider the X-T30II a new camera. And probably not even Fujifilm does, as during the X summit in September they talked about a lot of gear, but they did not mention the X-T30II at all. But hey, I told you I’ll be brutal to myself.
  • 1 is again just a wrong shipping date. It actually has been provided directly by Samyang USA customer support to a FR-reader, but apparently Samyang USA was not aware they’d be able to ship it earlier than expected

Not in Ranking

  1. nothing in this category
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